Dear Friends

I am Gijo Vijayan, blogger, author and entrepreneur from India. In this blog I want to give you a suggestion, how to end Russia Ukraine war.

The main culprit behind the war going is NATO and USA.

If they stop provoking Russia by expanding NATO to Russian borders, this war will end.

NATO is an Alliance that consists of 30 independent member countries.

The expansion of NATO to Russian borders in a big way adding new member countries like Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Hungary, Czech Republic, Romania, Bulgaria, Turkey etc for the past several years has provoked Russians a lot.

Russian neighbors like Sweden, Finland, Ukraine also wanted to join NATO and Challenge Russia for no valid reason.

What countries are trying to join NATO?
As of 2021, NATO officially recognizes three aspiring members: Bosnia and Herzegovina, Georgia, and Ukraine. Future expansion is a topic of debate in several countries outside the alliance, like Sweden, Finland, and Serbia.

Why NATO and USA wants to provoke Russia?

The answer is simple, to sell weapons worldwide. The world weapons-producing lobby needs an enemy. Russia is the ideal candidate. Imagine the world without Russia: how would the greedy weapon manufacturers justify the need of new weapons?

The existence of NATO and the cronies and old-wheezers in NATO whose paychecks and pensions are at risk depends upon the existence of ‘boogey or bogus’ threat!

The defense companies in Sweden, Germany, France, UK and USA etc. need a NATO to sell weapons. It’s like having a job — because it pays the bills!

USA had promised Russia that it will not allow NATO to expand to Russian borders and pose security threats. But later many countries like Poland, Estonia, Lithuania and Latvia became members of NATO with the blessings of USA.

NATO also deployed soldiers and created military bases in all major NATO member countries to threaten Russia and endangering its security.

Russia sees NATO as an alliance whose primary aim is to make Russia weaker, and so it sees any expansion of NATO as a direct threat to its own interests.

Stupid Western countries wants to fight Russia for no valid reason.

Russia Supplies cheap gas to Europe. Europe relies on Russia for around 40% of its natural gas. The bulk comes through pipelines including Yamal, which crosses Belarus and Poland to Germany, Nord Stream 1, which runs directly to Germany, and pipelines through Ukraine. A network of interconnecting pipelines links Europe’s internal gas markets.

The real culprit behind current war between Ukraine and Russia is US president Joe Biden and Oil lobby.

They created a situation of war whereby a prolonged war will cut of gas supplies from Russia to Europe completely. As an immediate effect, gas prices will go up immediately all over Europe and rest of the world.

The crude oil prices was USD 65.06 as on December 1, 2021.

On February 25, 2022 it was USD 95.60.

See crude oil price Chart below (WTI)

The Oil lobby will make trillions of dollars from this war due to increased crude oil prices, also from LNG.

If the gas pipelines from Russia to Europe get destroyed in war, USA will achieve 2 objectives.

1. It will further weaken Russia economically and revenue from selling gas to Europe will dry up.
2. Europe will be forced to buy gas from USA at higher prices and companies owned by oligarchs there will benefit a lot including Qatar that sells lot of LNG.

Thus USA will have better grip on European union and curtail Russia’s influence in the Baltic region.

So, who is benefitting from Russia — Ukraine war?

1. Weapon manufacturers from USA, Europe and elsewhere.
2. Oil companies of USA and Middle East.

USA has successful in dragging RUSSIA to war with UKRAINE. Ukraine was promised of help by US and its allies in case of a Russian invasion. But when the real invasion happened, all of them backed out betraying UKRAINE and left it alone to face the wrath of Russia.

Now USA and its allies are campaigning hard worldwide to mobilize public opinion hiding the real truth. They will never tell you how Russia was dragged into this war by grave provocations.

Ukraine is just a tool to achieve grater political and economic goals to control world oil prices from falling.

The main aim is to market and sell weapons worldwide and artificially increase the price of crude Oil.

Oil price jumps

Oil prices surged above $100 for the first time in more than seven years.

Meanwhile Russia’s currency, the rouble, fell to an all-time low against the dollar and the euro.

And the London Stock Exchange’s leading FTSE 100 index plunged more than 200 points, or 2.7%, within moments of opening.

Why RUSSIA invaded UKRAINE?

Short answer: Russia is sick and tired of NATO expansion. Doesn’t buy the stories of “Orange Revolutions” popping up all over on its borders. Also
Russia pushes all involved parties to keep their promise and comply with Minsk agreements.

The Military Angle

Ukraine is not a NATO member, but it wants to be. It is considered a partner of the alliance.

According to NATO, before being considered for membership, Ukraine needs to root out scourges such as corruption.

December 2021 — NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg rejected Russian demands to rescind a 2008 commitment that Ukraine would one day become a member of NATO.

Stoltenberg maintains that when the time comes to consider the issue, Russia will not be able to veto Ukraine’s accession.

Recently, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken has voiced support for Ukraine’s membership in NATO.

If UKRAINE becomes a NATO member, it will further weaken Russia and help USA and its allies to deploy weapons near Russia’s border and make it extremely vulnerable for attack in very short time.

Regardless of whether you are in agreement or opposition to Putin’s demands, you have to understand how he views the world.

He has publicly announced a red line of no NATO membership for former Soviet Republics (excluding the Baltic states) as far back as 2008. The Russia-Georgia war of that year made that plain. He also views the Maidan revolution of 2014 as an illegal overthrow of a democratically elected Ukrainian government, and that the current Ukrainian government is therefore illegitimate, and that this act voids the agreements Russia signed guaranteeing Ukraine’s territorial integrity. That is his position. You can call it nonsense if you want but that is still his position. In animal biological terms he has made a territorial claim. The US, some European countries, and NATO have made a counterclaim of Ukraine’s “right” to join NATO. The conflicting claims are irreconcilable, so there is no option other than either one side backing down or war in some form. Russia has decided it does not want to be the one to back down, and so for Russia, war is the only option and the only question is what form it will take. My guess is that Russia will opt for a salami-slicing strategy that avoids full scale invasion (even while credibly threatening it) but nevertheless threatens to wreck Ukraine, in hopes of accomplishing its geopolitical goals. (At the time of his post Russia has recognized the Donetsk and Luhansk PeopIes Republics, which have territorial claims on the Ukrainian controlled portions of Donetsk and Luhansk).

I believe that Putin has wargamed his operations and concluded that Russia can withstand the threatened and/or implemented economic sanctions. He has in my opinion, calculated that there is no better time to take military action than right now. War in Ukraine, in whatever form it takes will exact a huge cost on both the Ukrainian and Russian people. But if he is successful in holding on to his military gains long-term, he will successfully challenge the myth of Western invincibility. He may even create, with his partners, a parallel international financial system based on one or more of the following: gold, crytptocurrency, the yuan, the ruble, and its own payment-processing system. For Putin, he wants Russia to be recognized as a country that MUST be dealt with and cannot be ignored. If this is his goal, what Putin is doing now is the only way to achieve it.

So why is Russia sees Ukraine as a threat?

In the Ukraine crisis, the Western world has followed a provocative path since the beginning.

This attitude of the West, which escalated the tension in the Ukraine crisis, was most recently revealed by Biden’s statement of the date of occupation. It is evaluated that the USA, which has built up in the Black Sea and the Aegean, wants to make Ukraine the second Afghanistan.

The US and UK’s attempt to take Ukraine into NATO, which violates the Minsk Protocol, and plans to deploy nuclear missiles are seen as threats by Russia.

If USA and its allies continuously provoke Russia for years together, luring everyone around it, what Russia must do? Why the western media is not discussing this? UKRAINE was just a tool to contain Russia. Now who is paying the price of war? Common people of UKRAINE.

The United States does not care about Ukraine as a child. The United States has understandable benefits from this conflict.

In fact: There have always been troops on the border between Russia and Ukraine (because this is the border!). Troops on the border of Ukraine and Russia, too, have always been (also because this is the border). When an increase in troops occurs on either side, the other side also increases troops. This is a common practice. But the media will think it over to unimaginable proportions.

In fact 2: Russia and Putin personally do not need Ukraine. What for?

Only officially 3 million Ukrainians live in Russia. In 2001, there were 8 million Russians living in Ukraine, and Ukraine hides data on how many Russians have lived in the country since then. Strange isn’t it? What for?

In fact 3: Ukraine owes a lot of money for gas to Russia, which it is not going to return. At the same time, Russia asks for them from Ukraine, but does not demand, because it is trying to improve relations.

Fact 4: The United States needs to write off somewhere 4 trillion of money printed over the past 2 years. Where is the best place to write them off? Correctly in armament and war.

Fact 5: It is beneficial for the United States to impose sanctions on Russia, as well as on China, because Russia is oil and gas, and China is an economy that is already larger than the US economy. There is no reason for war here, it’s just money.

In fact 6: Russia cannot allow Ukraine to join NATO, because NATO will immediately place missile launchers on the territory of Ukraine, which will be directed to Moscow, and they will need 3–5 minutes to get there.

In general, it is stupid to talk about any aggression on the part of Russia, having a NATO network around the world (which lives on US money), and at the same time understanding that Russia does not have such a network, does not threaten, does not build bases near states, does not raise any demands , does not teach someone how to live, does not impose his democracy, does not come to the country and does not leave its ruins.

China , the so called friend of Russia stabbed Russia in the back during invasion. As per an article published in Newyork times, the following happened.

1. China helped USA and its allies with information on Russian troop movements.
2. China Pausing on Buying Russian Seaborne Crude After Invasion.
   Importers waiting for clarity on cargo financing, payments.
   Freight costs for loading from Black Sea surge on risks.

China copied military hardware from Russia for years together. China never wanted to see a powerful Russia, if Russia become powerful, it can not exert its influence globally. So, China pretend to support Russia publicly, but in reality, it plays games to weaken Russia indirectly in the political and economic front.

Russia needs China badly because China is a big buyer of Russian coal and crude oil, LNG etc.

Russia and China are enemies from inside but pretend to be friends outside. It is like a bad marriage where both husband and wife quarrel every day and when they go out for shopping hold hands together giving a message to neighbors that they are sweet couples.

There is only one person in the world that can negotiate with Russia’s president — Mr.Vladimir Putin, that is Mr.Narendra Modi of India.

Russia always supported India in UN with its veto power, also never sold weapons to enemies of India like Pakistan.

More than 70% of Indian military hardware is from Russia and India needs Russia’s support to prevent China and Pakistan from creating problems.

If USA and its allies provoke Russia too much , a third world war can break out. No US president will be able to negotiate, only India can.

Putin will not listen to anyone except Modi. That is for sure.

I personally feel that Chinese leaders are very happy because of on going war between Russia and Ukraine.

This is a golden opportunity to start war and take over Taiwan for them.

In future I think more and more wars can happen where big countries invade small countries.

BREAKING: China announces a “military drill” in the South China Sea from Sunday to Tuesday.
Is this the beginning of something bigger?

If anything of that kind happens, the following will happen.

All of a sudden, Russia and USA will become friends. India, Japan, Australia, South Korea, Philippines, Vietnam etc will support USA and its allies in naval blockade on China. The trade completely stops and millions of people in China come to the streets , start revolt.

Meanwhile 20 million people of Taiwan will give nightmares’ to Chinese PLA and Taiwan may inflict huge damage to China by blowing up 3 gorges dam, that will sink Chinese major cities including Wuhan, taking China 50 years back. There is a possibility that China may break into different countries. So the possibility of China Taiwan war is rare, even if China wants it , it can not invade Taiwan because of it’s geography. Due to lack of military bases and allies china will be left alone and it will be crippled for many years.

So, China will be like paper tiger, making small provocations here and there to test the temperament of Taiwan, USA and its allies.

If someone in 1980’s tell anyone from IRAQ that USA will attack it 1991, he will regarded as stupid. But don’t call me stupid.

There is every possibility that China may invade or take over Singapore in the coming years, to control the trade and sea routes.

By controlling Singapore it can control trade route of Japan, South Korea and cut of military influence of USA and its allies in South China sea.

Singapore is under grave threat from China. I think something nasty is going to happen in future.

If Singapore wants to save itself, start preparing from Now. Else your freedom and sovereignty can be in danger in the coming years. Do not take it for granted.

How is China going to bring their army to attack Singapore?

The only way by land into Singapore is the causeways from Malaysia, which if China could attack from and have logistic routes secured would certainly lead to a successful invasion. But thankfully for Singapore, that would require permission from Vietnam, Thailand and Malaysia to grant China passage for 1million+ troops to cross their border and permission from Malaysia to use their lands as a staging point. That is can be a possibility.

China tried to create a new city in Malaysia called forest city, very close to Singapore, and tried a lot to shift Singapore’s economic activity there. Forest City Johor is an integrated residential development located on the slopes of Gelang Patah, Johor Bahru District, Johor, Malaysia on 1,370 hectares. Announced in 2006 as a twenty-year project, the project was pitched under China’s Belt and Road Initiative.

But it failed miserably and the company that built it Evergrande Group became bankrupt. This a clear sign that China is trying to take over Singapore or influence the same.

As per five finger possibility of China, following lands belongs to China, ie Ladhak, Sikkim, Nepal, Bhutan and Arunachal Pradesh.

China will try hard and try to invade Nepal and Bhutan in future, but will be beaten back by India. The tough Himalayan terrain will make this task almost impossible to happen. But there can be an attempt by China in future, we must be careful.

Tips for small countries:

If you guys want to survive in the current political climate, be clever. The big powers will use you as pawns to achieve their political and economical goals. Innocent civilians will get killed in large numbers for no reason of their own. So try to avoid war by being neutral, do not invite trouble because of stupid leader’s decisions. In a fight between big powers, the weak will get beaten up brutally. In the fight between 2 mafia dons, the gang members from both sides will get killed, not the dons. Just Remember that.

Regards

Gijo KV
Patna, Bihar, India
www.Gijokv.com
Gijo@Gijokv.com
27th February 2022, Sunday

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